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Federal election 2021: Liberal minority projected as Alberta goes blue


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Conservatives once again take rural Alberta blue

The potential separation of the votes of the People’s Party of Canada and the Maverick Party was not enough to cause the Federal Conservatives to lose votes, as they once again took all rural Alberta ridings in blue.


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The CPC overwhelmingly dominated in areas outside of Calgary and Edmonton in the 2019 election, where it won most ridings with voting shares typically exceeding 70% and 80%, with the PPC only exceeding not 3.9%.

Nine of Calgary’s ten ridings have also turned blue, but Calgary Skyview remains on the line as Liberal George Chahal and Tory Jag Sahota take turns leading the race. At the last check, Chahal led by around 4% with just over a third of the polls.


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Calgary Center was expected to be a close race, but Conservative candidate Greg McLean has just over 50 percent of the total vote with 20 percent of the polls. Second-ranked Liberal candidate Sabrina Grover got just 29 percent of the vote.

Conservative candidate Michelle Rempel Garner won her riding of Calgary Nose Hill with a lead of around 16,000 votes.

Calgary Nose Hill candidate Michelle Rempel Garner speaks to reporters following another Conservative victory in her northeast Calgary riding.
Calgary Nose Hill candidate Michelle Rempel Garner speaks to reporters following another Conservative victory in her northeast Calgary riding. Brendan Miller / Postmedia

In Edmonton, NDP candidate Heather McPherson was re-elected in Edmonton Strathcona. Two other Edmonton ridings remain too close to qualify, with the NDP leading in one and the Liberals and Conservatives in a close race in the other.

Check the results in the individual ridings below using our map tool.

Projected liberal minority

The Canadian Press predicts the Liberals won enough seats to stay in power with a minority government, but failed to secure a majority.


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Prime Minister Justin Trudeau will need the support of at least one other party to maintain a minority government.

Two party leaders out

The Canadian Press reports that the leader of the Green Party Annamie Paul lost in the Ontario riding of Toronto Center.

It was the third time she had run for the seat of downtown Toronto, considered a Liberal stronghold. She lost to former Liberal Finance Minister Bill Morneau in the 2019 federal election. She also ran unsuccessfully in the October 2020 by-election, losing to Liberal Marci Ien, who was re-elected tonight.

This contest took place about three weeks after Paul won the Green Party leadership race.

The leader of the Popular Party of Canada, Maxime Bernier, also lost the seat he was running for in the Quebec riding of Beauce.


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Bernier garnered around 19.6% of the vote there, but came second behind Conservative candidate RIchard Lehoux, who holds nearly half of the votes in this constituency, with two-thirds of the polls reporting it.

Bernier made a last-minute stop in Calgary on Saturday, hoping to increase his party’s chances here.

Few problems as Calgarians go to the polls

Calgarians went to the polls on Monday morning in the first election since the pandemic began 16 months ago.

Results for each Calgary constituency can be viewed in real time after the polls close here.

Polling stations had social distancing measures in place and plenty of disposable pencils were ready as citizens marked their ballots.

Polling stations opened at 7:30 am in Alberta and closed at 7:30 pm No major issues were reported in terms of queues or waiting times. Anyone queuing at 7:30 p.m. will be allowed in the polling station to vote.


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Given the pandemic, many have chosen to vote in advance or by mail ballot. According to Elections Canada, 5.8 million Canadians voted early, which is an 18.5% increase from 2019.

However, Mount Royal University political scientist Duane Bratt said that a higher turnout in advance polls did not correlate with a higher turnout on election night. He said that historically voter turnout is lower during a pandemic.


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Mail-in ballots could also delay final results in many ridings until tomorrow. Elections Canada received nearly a million mail-in ballots. These ballots will not be opened and counted until tomorrow.

Our team of journalists will be keeping a close watch on local constituencies throughout the night. Keep watching this page for updates as the results arrive.

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    National Post: 2021 Canadian Federal Election Live

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    2021 federal election results: a live map constituency by constituency

The pandemic puts the brakes on the results celebrations

Restrictions on indoor rallies that were put in place last Wednesday by the Alberta government mean it will be difficult for candidates to get together with their supporters to watch election results.


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Current provincial rules on meeting limits apply to “private social gatherings” and limit outdoor groups to a maximum of 200 people, who must remain physically two meters apart at all times. Social gatherings indoors are virtually impossible for a team of volunteers from different households.

Calgary Skyview Liberal candidate George Chahal will host an outdoor event in his riding. However, Calgary Center Liberal candidate Sabrina Grover opts for a smaller rally. She will watch the results arrive with her family from a city center hotel and host a virtual meeting with supporters. Calgary Center Conservative candidate Greg McLean is also planning a virtual event.



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